PREVIEW-Petrobras profit seen up on fuel prices, output
*Petrobras earnings
*Monday after market close at 1700 (2000 GMT)
*Analysts see net profit up 18 percent on year
*Dollar devaluation seen containing earnings
By Denise Luna
RIO DE JANEIRO, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Brazil's state-run oil company Petrobras (PETR4.SA: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz)(PBR.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) is expected to post an 18 percent gain in second quarter net earnings over a year ago due to higher gasoline and diesel prices and increased oil output.
Petrobras is due to release its quarterly results on Monday sometime after the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange closes at 1700 local time (1600 EDT/2000 GMT).
The company's earnings will likely be contained by the continued depreciation of the dollar against the Brazilian real BRBY over the quarter, according to six analysts surveyed by Reuters.
The appreciation of the real against the dollar decreases the value of Petrobras assets abroad. The real has gained almost 12 percent against the dollar so far in 2008, adding to a 20 percent surge in 2007.
A weak dollar also hurts the company's exports.
Petrobras' net profits should reach 8 billion reais ($4.9 billion), up 18 percent from the 6.8 billion reais in the April through June period a year ago, according to the average estimated of six analysts. Estimates ranged from 7.4 billion reais to 8.2 billion reais.
Company revenues should increase by around 25 percent on average, according to analysts, benefiting directly from the increase in the price of oil and a jump in sales.
"We estimate growth of 24.2 percent in net revenues against the same quarter of 2007, due to the 90.4 percent increase in international oil prices over the past year, as well as the rise in (local) gasoline and diesel prices in May," said Nelson Rodrigues de Matos, an analyst at BB Investimentos.
Petrobras announced in May it would raise the price at the refinery of gasoline and diesel by 10 and 15 percent, respectively. Local fuel sales make up about 50 percent of the company's earnings.
Production of crude oil and natural gas over the second quarter was also up 3.6 percent from the three month period a year ago. Output averaged 2.386 million barrels a day of oil equivalent over the quarter.
The following table shows the average estimates of six analysts for Petrobras' quarterly results. All figures are in Brazilian reais.
F'CAST 2008 2007 2008 CHANGE
2ND QTR 2ND QTR 1ST QTR YR ON YR Net revenue 52.3 bln 41.8 bln 46.9 bln +25 pct EBITDA 16.0 bln 14.2 bln 13.8 bln +13 pct EBITDA Margin 30.5 pct 33.9 pct 29.4 pct -340 bps Net profit 8.0 bln 6.8 bln 6.9 bln +18 pct
($1=1.615 reais) (Writing by Reese Ewing, editing by Phil Berlowitz)
© Thomson Reuters 2008 All rights reserved
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